Urn A ----> 6R + 4W = 10 BallsUrn B ----> 2R + 6W = 8 Balls Urn C ----> 1R + 5W = 6 Balls E1 = The ball is selected from urn AE2 = The ball is selected from urn BE3 = The ball is selected from urn C Therefore P(E1) = P(E2) = P(E3) = 1/3Let A = drawing a red ball.so, P(A/E1) = 6/10 P(A/E2) = 2/8 P(A/E3) = 1/6 By Baye's TheoremRequired Probability = P(E1/A) ----------------------- > = ( 1/3 * 6/10 ) / ( 1/3 * 6/10 + 1/3 * 2/8 + 1/3 * 1/6 )--------------------------> = 36/61
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