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A die is thrown 6 times. If ‘getting an odd number’ is a success, what is the probability of (i) 5 successes? (ii) at least 5 successes? (iii) at most 5 successes? |
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Answer» The repeated tosses of a die are Bernoulli trials. Let X denote the number of successes of getting odd numbers in an experiment of 6 trials. p = P (success) = P (getting an odd number in a single throw of a die) ∴ p= 3/6 = 1/2 and q = P (failure) = 1 - p = 1 - 1/2 = 1/2 Therefore, by Binomial distribution P(x = r) = nCrpn-rqr, where r = 0, 1, 2,...., n P(X = r) = 6Cr(1/2)6-r(1/2)r = 6Cr(1/2)6 (i) P(5 successes)= 6C5(1/2)6 = 6 x 1/26 = 6/64 = 3/32 (ii) P (at least 5 successes) = P (5 successes) + P (6 successes) = 6C5(1/2)6 + 6C6(1/2)6 = 6/64 + 1/64 = 7/64 (iii) P (at most 5 successes) = 1 – P (6 successes) = 1 - 6C6(1/2)6 = 1 - 1/64 = 63/64 |
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